Saturday, September 29, 2007

SOME POSITIVE ECONOMIC NEWS, FINALLY

Although surveys indicate that consumer confidence is falling, consumer spending was on the rise in August. And, while inflation is a concern, core PCE, an inflation figure favored by the Federal Reserve that excludes food and energy, came in at an acceptable 1.8% on an annual basis.

From The New York Times:

Americans made more purchases than expected in August and a crucial inflation indicator cooled, the Commerce Department said yesterday, two indications that the economy is still somewhat insulated from turmoil in the residential housing market.

Consumer spending rose a better-than-forecast 0.6 percent last month, the largest uptick since April, led by strong sales of durable goods. Income increased 0.3 percent, down from a 0.5 percent rise in July but in line with Wall Street forecasts. The rate of wage increases was also slightly down from July.

Consumers also caught a break on rising prices in August. A closely watched inflation gauge, the core personal consumption expenditure deflator, posted its smallest year-over-year gain since February 2004. The core deflator index, which excludes food and energy prices, rose 1.8 percent on an annual basis, continuing a downward trend that stretches back to February.

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