PERSONAL INCOME AND CONSUMER SPENDING REPORT ISSUED

From The New York Times:

Personal income and spending continued to grow in September, a government report showed today, suggesting strength in the economy even as analysts fear widespread troubles in the next few months.

Still, consumption began to slow, and manufacturers may be starting to feel the effects of a tightening housing market.

Personal spending, which accounts for two-thirds of the gross domestic product, grew at 0.3 percent in September, a slight deceleration from the 0.5 percent growth in August, the Commerce Department said today.

Spending is up 5.6 percent over the last 12 months, probably bolstered by a comparable rise in personal income, which has increased 6.8 percent over the last year.

Income rose 0.4 percent last month after an identical gain in August. Disposable income, a measure of the money employees take home after taxes, dipped to 0.4 percent from 0.5 percent in August.

Today’s report offered few surprises, though it could provide some comfort to economists who predict a decline in economic growth in the fourth quarter. Analysts are waiting for a worsening housing recession to make its way into the broader economy, but for now consumers appear to be comfortable with opening their wallets.

The personal consumption expenditures index, an inflation gauge closely watched by the Federal Reserve, also stayed steady. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 1.8 percent on an annual basis, keeping pace with a downward trend over six months.

But overall inflation, as measured by the P.C.E. deflator, is up 2.4 percent for the year, above the Fed’s so-called comfort zone of 1 percent to 2 percent. That rise, compared with 1.8 percent in August, likely reflected the surging cost of crude oil, which pushes up gasoline and energy prices.